Manitoba – 2016

Having rather caught the bug for scenario making, I moved on to Manitoba and present here a scenario for the 2016 general election in which the Progressive Conservatives defeated the NDP government.

Feedback of all sorts gratefully received, particularly with regards to issues and endorsers as I am sure there people out there with far more knowledge than I as to the intricacies of Manitoba politics.

Manitoba – 2016

 

PEI – 2015

A week or so ago, I thought I would try my hand at making a map and a scenario for PMI Canada, with the result being a scenario for Prince Edward Island’s 2015 general election, found below.

Any and all feedback anyone has to offer would be very helpful and very gratefully received – the issues are just the basic ones from the Canadian federal scenarios with those only relevant to the federal government removed and the only local endorsers I have are the two newspapers from Charlottetown and Summerside so any help there would be great!

PEI – 2015

2018 Arizona Senatorial

2018 Arizona Senatorial scenario – created using admin’s 2018 Arizona map, and DallasD’s 2016 Senatorial scenario.

Candidates –

  • Kelli Ward (R)
  • Joe Arpaio (R)
  • Martha McSally (R)
  • Kyrsten Sinema (D)
  • Deedra Abboud (D)
  • Doug Marks (L)
  • Eve Reyes-Aguire (G)

This campaign features no events yet – but has realistic campaign finance figures, percentages, and campaign surrogates.

Arizona Senate 2018

 

2018 NY Gubernatorial

2018 NY Gubernatorial Election created using NYrepublican’s 2010 election.

05/20/18 Update – All candidates now have proper Lieutenant Governor running mates!

Candidates include –

  • Marcus Molinaro (R)
  • Marcus Molinaro (Conservative)
  • Andrew Cuomo (D)
  • Andrew Cuomo (Women’s Equality)
  • Larry Sharpe (L)
  • Howie Hawkins (G)
  • Cynthia Nixon (WFP)
  • Joseph Holland (Reform)
  • Joel Giambra (Reform)

2018 NY Gubernatorial

Ontario 2018

Change is in the air. Ontarians have grown tired of the Liberals after 15 years in office. The Tories have just finished a tumultuous leadership race to replace the disgraced former leader, Patrick Brown. Can they maintain their 20 point lead or will Kathleen Wynne defy the odds and win re-election? It is Andrea Horwathís third election as NDP leader. Can the New Democrats capitalise on the unpopularity of the Liberals and chaos in the Conservative Party or will they remain the third party? It is far from certain who will lead the next government and if it will be a minority or majority government.

Ontario 2018

 

London 2018 local elections scenario!

A new scenario from our neck of the woods! London has critical local elections coming up in just a couple of weeks time (2nd May: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_local_elections,_2018 )

Can Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party inflict severe losses upon the Conservatives, led by Theresa May? The contest is heating up for several conservative controlled councils, with the Tories heading for their worst ever result in the capital city. Can Labour take the critical Tory councils of Barnett, Wandsworth, Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea and Hillingdon and show that it is on the way to a general election victory? Or will Theresa May and the Tories hang onto most of their councils and take the steam out of the Labour steamroller? Will the Liberal Democrats be able to capitalise on the anti Brexit tide, or will it be the Greens or UKIP who become the 3rd party in London instead?

Last local elections: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_local_elections,_2014

A good night for Labour: Taking Barnett, Tower Hamlets, and at least three other of the councils. Inflicting losses of above 200 Councillors on the Tories would inflict severe damage on the Conservative Party.

A good night for the Conservatives: Holding onto all or most of their councils and (At worst) losing Barnett, but taking back Havering from the independents. Fighting off the Liberal Democrats in Richmond and Kingston. Losses of less than 100, or potential gains, would be a very good result.

A good night for the Liberal Democrats: Holding onto Sutton, winning Richmond and Kingston Upon Thames would show that the anti Brexit vote is in full swing

A good night for the Greens/UKIP: Winning anything at all.

Screenshots:

 

Click here to download this scenario: 2018-London Local elections