Premier Higgs called a snap election after negotiations failed with the other parties that would have avoided an election until the fixed date in 2022 or the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. Will the election bring a majority to the Premier? Or will it lead to the election of another party? And what about the election as a whole in a full COVID pandemic?
Feel free to give feedback 🙂
Cuts to programs, a near miss in the QuĂ©bec referendum, and a rapidly falling defecit have been the hallmarks of Jean ChrĂ©tien’s first mandate, and not all voters are happy about it. While Reform attempts to “break out” of the West into Ontario, the PCs and NDP try and rebuild from their disastrous 1993 finishes and the Bloc attempts to keep on despite the loss of Bouchard. Will ChrĂ©tien hold on? Prime Minister Jean ChrĂ©tien seeks his second term. The PC party, led by the popular Jean Charest, is hoping to rebound from its disastrous 1993 campaign. Can the Reform Party displace the Bloc and become the Official Opposition? Will the NDP be able to build a strong base in the Maritimes, and regain lost ground?
After 9 years in power, the Liberals of Quebec are aweakened. Despite holding 88 seats, the Canadian constitutionnal crisis and the reject of Brian Mulroney’s Meech Lake accord boosted sovereignism in Quebec to an unprecendent approval support.
The Pequists, led by the very independentist Jacques Parizeau are expecting and willing to make big gains. A year ago, in 1993, the Bloc Québécois with Lucien Bouchard got 50,3% of the vote in Quebec and almost 2 millions votes, winning 54 federal seats and forming the official opposition in Ottawa.
The victory of the PQ has to be the second step of independentist walk, the third will be a referendum in 1995 on sovereignty organized by the government of Quebec. Can the pequists get the second step of the sovereignist walk to independence?
This election is crucial because the sovereignists can’t hold any referendum on sovereignty without winning Quebec’s parliament. The Liberals, without their historical leader, Robert Bourassa, are now led by the last Johnson, Daniel Johnson Jr.
His short term of a year as incumbent Premier didn’t give him the time to deliver a complete strategy against sovereignists but Liberals are up since spring.
The former Liberal youth president Mario Dumont has left his party and is now leading the Action Democratique du Quebec.
Can this young and fresh politician wins his seat of Rivière-du-Loup?
This francophone right-wing party is, for itself, unclear about independence.
The famour polemist and radio animator, André Arthur is also declared as independent candidate and wants to win his seat of Louis-Hebert, local polls give him a solid 27% behind the Parti Québécois.
Will the Pequist prevail? Or the Liberals? Or will the ADQ be able to win enough seats to become the King Maker in this crucial election for Quebec’s future? And what about AndrĂ© Arthur’s bet?
Alberta’s 2015 Provincial Election saw the defeat of the Provincial Conservatives by Rachel Notley’s New Democrat Party.
I’ve remade the Alberta – 2015 scenario created by RI Democrat from the PM4E 2011 engine.
Polling data is the 2015 election results as taken from https://www.elections.ab.ca/ but I’ve added a polling shift to reflect a Mainstreet poll on the 7th April start date which puts the PC, WRP and NDP at a roughly even split (small WRP lead).
Can you win as the NDP and end the political dominance of the PC’s in Alberta or will the PCs retain power? Maybe The Wildrose Party will take the Conservative baton forward?
v.2 – Very small update to this scenario to add some ministerial positions and bonuses to riding candidates.
Under Brian Mulroney, the PC party has governed Canada since 1984. A large recession, the fight over the GST, and the collapse of the Meech Lake and Charlottetown Accords destroyed Brian Mulroney’s final term. Kim Campbell has now been selected Prime Minister after Mulroney’s resignation. Now, Kim Campbell hopes to have a clean slate and salvage Progressive Conservative fortunes. But with an economic recession and Mulroney’s unfavorable policies still in voters’ minds, along with the rise of two strong regional parties in the West and QuĂ©bec, will the new Prime Minister be able to hold off ChrĂ©tien’s Liberals?
Feel free to give feedback 🙂
I pay tribute to malvail and his old scenarios for Forever which helped us a lot
After a bumpy mandate, Charest is seeking re-election. In front of him, the opposition seems weak, luckily for him, the PQ being torn by leadership troubles with André Boisclair as leader. However the ADQ rapidly going up in the polls in the last few months with the Dumont as a charismatic leader..
Could Premier Charest be re-elected? With a majority or minority? Will André Boisclair, first openly homosexual ruler of a great party in North America wins the election? Or will Mario Dumont, leader of the 3rd party, pursue his trend and become Leader of the Official Opposition, or maybe, Premier himself?
And what about Quebec Solidaire? Could this new force matters and bring any MP to the national assembly? By taking the Pequist stronghold of Mercier or Gouin in Montreal? To be continued…
MOD HERE : Quebec – 2007
(Take the mod in the zip and put it either in your user_scenario for Canada Infinity or British Infinity either in your scenarios in your Canada or British scenario file)
THERE ARE A LOT OF ALTERNATIVE LEADERS FOR EACH PARTY
The electoral map of Quebec is adapted to the leader you choose. Montréal and Laval will favorize a left-wing leader, Capitale-Nationale and Chaudières-Appalache will favorize a Center-Right leader.
Note : To favorize Quebec Solidaire in the mod, Greens and Solidaires have been merged to make them competitive with big parties.
Parti Québécois
André Boisclair historical leader
Pauline Marois arrived 2nd, former Minister and (PM in 2012)
Former PM and OL of the Can opp as former Conservative Minister and Ch of the PQ Lucien Bouchard
Former leader and PM Bernard Landry
Actor Pierre Curzi
Journalist Bernard Drainville
Former finance minister Joseph Facal
Louise Harel strong Montreal leader
Gilles Duceppe chief of the Bloc Québécois at federal leve
François Legault former Pequist Minister and Spokesperson of the Official Opposition
Richard Legendre former Sport’s minister
Parti Libéral du Québec
Premier Jean Charest
Monique J-F economic minister
Tom Mulcair former Liberal minister and NDP MP of Outremont for federal
Pierre Paradis former Liberal Minister, left-wing!
Philippe Couillard Healthcare minister
Yvon Picotte former Pdt of ADQ and Bourassa Minister
Yves SĂ©guin former Liberal minister for economy, right-wing economic minister
ADQ leaders
Mario Dumont, historical leader
Sebastien Proulx, n°2 of the ADQ
Gilles Taillon, former leader of the “Conseil du Patronat” economic right wing
Quebec Solidaire and Green alliance
Amir Khadir, spokesperson and main ruler of the party
Françoise David, spokesperson of the party
Scott Mckay, Green leader (next PQ candidate for l’Assomption and Repentigny in 2008 and 2012 and PQ minister in next elections)
In 2018, change is the keyword for the Quebec election. After being in power for 13 of the last 15 years (and the last 4 years), the incumbent Liberal party (PLQ) suffers from low approval ratings . Since autumn 2017, the Coalition Avenir QuĂ©bec (CAQ), with François Legault as leader, has been ahead of the PLQ in almost all the polls, with the Parti QuĂ©bĂ©cois (PQ) – currently the official opposition – significantly behind them in third. Quebec Solidaire (QS), meanwhile, has merged with the independentist party Option Nationale, and is in fourth. It seems to be a two-way race between CAQ and PLQ, but with a lot of undecideds, the result is nowhere near certain. Will the CAQ be able to maintain its lead without alienating its base? Will the PLQ be able to win despite a historically low approval rate? Will the PQ be able to buck the trend and to keep its current seats, or even increase them? And finally, will QS be able to finally gain a seat outside Montreal?
Here is a video like always from the party which won the election:
After 9 years of power the Liberal Party of Quebec faces one of the greatest political crisis Canada ever saw. The students of Quebec are fighting against the raise of tuitons fees of 1625$ to an unprecedent amount of 3946$ per year. The pro independence Parti Québécois which leads the Official Oppositon and which faced one of its most historic crush in opinion polls took the side of the students like Quebec Solidaire. The new Coalition Avenir Quebec -a nationalist party- which started high in polls and led by the former pequist minister François Legault is now third in opinion polls and the Liberal Party faces the lowest opinion polls never received due to controversies and the student crisis.
Can the PQ uses this crisis and at its benefit? Can the CAQ moves back first in opinion polls? Can the LPQ return the crisis at its benefit? Even more, the independentists of Quebec are now divided. The new Option Nationale -extremely independendist- and led by the former Pequist MP Jean Martin Aussant is winning supports among youngs, and Quebec Solidaire -also independentist- is increasing its supports. Despite the strategic vote, can they take votes to the Left, and essentially, the Parti Quebecois? Can the Parti Quebecois stops their expansion? The divided race is now open!
EVENTS:
-Dissolution asked by Jean Charest
-The Student Crisis
-Jean Charest: Pauline Marois wants a referendum on sovereignty!
-François Legault makes huge gains among independent voters
-Anticipation vote opens
As always, feedback very much appreciated.
Here is the New Brunswick 2014 general election in which the real result was that the Liberals won a reasonably narrow majority and made the Alward government the second in a row, and second in provincial history, to only serve one term.
As always, feedback appreciated, especially with issues and endorsers, as well as anything else that may be wrong or need correction.
Here is the Newfoundland and Labrador 2015 general election – a Liberal landslide in reality but it is possible to reverse the tide.
