After 5 years in government, the ruling Progressive Liberal Party remains deeply unpopular with the Bahamian electorate. Allegations of corruption, and a high level of mistrust from Bahamian voters, continue to dog the party as the general election approaches. On the other hand, the opposition Free National Movement continues to struggle with internal disarray as their candidate for the general election, the Hon. Hubert Minnis, recently lost a vote of no confidence to remain as the sitting Leader of the Opposition in the House Of Assembly. Can the FNM quiet their internal struggles to proceed as a unified party into the upcoming election, or will the PLP win another 5 years of governance?
Scenario Features Include :
Bahamian Political Parties :
Free National Movement
Progressive Liberal Party
Democratic National Alliance
Bahamas Constitutional Party
Independents
Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
Bahamian Political Leaders :
Free National Movement :
Hon. Hubert Minnis
Hon. Loretta Butler-Turner
Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
Fmr. Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
Progressive Liberal Party :
Rt. Hon. Prime Minister Perry Christie
Deputy Prime Minister Philip “Brave” Davis
Hon. Alfred Sears
Hon. MoFA & Immigration Fred Mitchell
Democratic National Alliance
Branville McCartney
Bahamas Constitutional Party
Ali McIntosh
Variety Of Bahamian Endorsers
Noteworthy Bahamian Events
Bahamian Issues and Party Platforms
Map of the Bahamas with 2017 constituency boundaries
Observer Party
and much more!
Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below. This is my first publicly released scenario, so any feedback goes a long way in helping me to refine my work!
After 9 years in power, the Liberals of Quebec are aweakened. Despite holding 88 seats, the Canadian constitutionnal crisis and the reject of Brian Mulroney’s Meech Lake accord boosted sovereignism in Quebec to an unprecendent approval support.
The victory of the PQ has to be the second step of independentist walk, the third will be a referendum in 1995 on sovereignty organized by the government of Quebec. Can the pequists get the second step of the sovereignist walk to independence?
This election is crucial because the sovereignists can’t hold any referendum on sovereignty without winning Quebec’s parliament. The Liberals, without their historical leader, Robert Bourassa, are now led by the last Johnson, Daniel Johnson Jr. His short term of a year as incumbent Premier didn’t give him the time to deliver a complete strategy against sovereignists but Liberals are up since spring.
The former Liberal youth president Mario Dumont has left his party and is now leading the Action Democratique du Quebec. Can this young and fresh politician wins his seat of Rivière-du-Loup? This francophone right-wing party is, for itself, unclear about independence.
An exact carbon copy of the official 2019 scenario, but with improved percentage numbers – the base scenario uses a uniform swing but constituency polls have shown that this doesn’t produce accurate results. Numbers based off all publicly available Constituency and MRP polls, with some discretion used.
Alberta’s 2015 Provincial Election saw the defeat of the Provincial Conservatives by Rachel Notley’s New Democrat Party.
I’ve remade the Alberta – 2015 scenario created by RI Democrat from the PM4E 2011 engine.
Polling data is the 2015 election results as taken from https://www.elections.ab.ca/ but I’ve added a polling shift to reflect a Mainstreet poll on the 7th April start date which puts the PC, WRP and NDP at a roughly even split (small WRP lead).
Can you win as the NDP and end the political dominance of the PC’s in Alberta or will the PCs retain power? Maybe The Wildrose Party will take the Conservative baton forward?
v.2 – Very small update to this scenario to add some ministerial positions and bonuses to riding candidates.
While Netanyahu won earlier this year, he couldn’t form a coalition and thus called for another snap election in September as a hail mary in hopes of securing a majority coalition that will help him weather the corruption scandals engulfing his rule. The relatively young Blue and White alliance has rose to prominence last election as a united front of moderates both left and right to oppose Netanyahu and are now ready for round two, who will win in this decisive election?
Another update, some rebalancing, readjusted population numbers to be more accurate
The growth of Euroscepticism in Britain has resulted in this referendum. David Cameron has sought to renegotiate Britain’s place in the EU but many think he hasn’t done enough. The battle lines are drawn and Britain’s political heavyweights are ready to tackle the biggest issue in British politics. Will Britain vote to remain in the EU or will they vote to upset the establishment and undo fourty years of European integration?
Vote Leave
Boris Johnson (Conservative)
Michael Gove (Conservative)
Gisela Stuart (Labour)
Nigel Farage (UKIP)
Britain Stronger in Europe
David Cameron (Conservative)
George Osborne (Conservative)
Alan Johnson (Labour)
Stuart Rose (Conservative)
Three years ago, the EU Referendum changed everything in British politics. The campaign was exciting, it engaged millions of voters and in the end leave won 52%-48%. Brexit has dominated British politics since that result in 2016 and this campaign was where it all started!
As the year 2004 and the third term of the Howard Government come to a close, an election looms. Many issues of domestic and foreign policy divide a polarized electorate … and, in a post-September 11 world, the spectre of international terrorism is always present?
