Québec 1994 OUI AU CHANGEMENT !


After 9 years in power, the Liberals of Quebec are aweakened. Despite holding 88 seats, the Canadian constitutionnal crisis and the reject of Brian Mulroney’s Meech Lake accord boosted sovereignism in Quebec to an unprecendent approval support.

The Pequists, led by the very independentist Jacques Parizeau are expecting and willing to make big gains. A year ago, in 1993, the Bloc Québécois with Lucien Bouchard got 50,3% of the vote in Quebec and almost 2 millions votes, winning 54 federal seats and forming the official opposition in Ottawa.

The victory of the PQ has to be the second step of independentist walk, the third will be a referendum in 1995 on sovereignty organized by the government of Quebec. Can the pequists get the second step of the sovereignist walk to independence?

This election is crucial because the sovereignists can’t hold any referendum on sovereignty without winning Quebec’s parliament. The Liberals, without their historical leader, Robert Bourassa, are now led by the last Johnson, Daniel Johnson Jr.
His short term of a year as incumbent Premier didn’t give him the time to deliver a complete strategy against sovereignists but Liberals are up since spring.

The former Liberal youth president Mario Dumont has left his party and is now leading the Action Democratique du Quebec.
Can this young and fresh politician wins his seat of Rivière-du-Loup?
This francophone right-wing party is, for itself, unclear about independence.

The famour polemist and radio animator, André Arthur is also declared as independent candidate and wants to win his seat of Louis-Hebert, local polls give him a solid 27% behind the Parti Québécois.

Will the Pequist prevail? Or the Liberals? Or will the ADQ be able to win enough seats to become the King Maker in this crucial election for Quebec’s future? And what about André Arthur’s bet?

United Kingdom 2019 – Improved Percentages

An exact carbon copy of the official 2019 scenario, but with improved percentage numbers – the base scenario uses a uniform swing but constituency polls have shown that this doesn’t produce accurate results. Numbers based off all publicly available Constituency and MRP polls, with some discretion used.

Download here: http://campaigns.270soft.com/united-kingdom-2019-5/

2015 – Alberta v.2

Alberta’s 2015 Provincial Election saw the defeat of the Provincial Conservatives by Rachel Notley’s New Democrat Party.

I’ve remade the Alberta – 2015 scenario created by RI Democrat from the PM4E 2011 engine.

Polling data is the 2015 election results as taken from https://www.elections.ab.ca/ but I’ve added a polling shift to reflect a Mainstreet poll on the 7th April start date which puts the PC, WRP and NDP at a roughly even split (small WRP lead).

Can you win as the NDP and end the political dominance of the PC’s in Alberta or will the PCs retain power? Maybe The Wildrose Party will take the Conservative baton forward?

v.2 – Very small update to this scenario to add some ministerial positions and bonuses to riding candidates.

Israel September 2019 Election

While Netanyahu won earlier this year, he couldn’t form a coalition and thus called for another snap election in September as a hail mary in hopes of securing a majority coalition that will help him weather the corruption scandals engulfing his rule. The relatively young Blue and White alliance has rose to prominence last election as a united front of moderates both left and right to oppose Netanyahu and are now ready for round two, who will win in this decisive election?

Another update, some rebalancing, readjusted population numbers to be more accurate

http://campaigns.270soft.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Israel-2019-2-6.zip

Canada 1993

Under Brian Mulroney, the PC party has governed Canada since 1984. A large recession, the fight over the GST, and the collapse of the Meech Lake and Charlottetown Accords destroyed Brian Mulroney’s final term. Kim Campbell has now been selected Prime Minister after Mulroney’s resignation. Now, Kim Campbell hopes to have a clean slate and salvage Progressive Conservative fortunes. But with an economic recession and Mulroney’s unfavorable policies still in voters’ minds, along with the rise of two strong regional parties in the West and Québec, will the new Prime Minister be able to hold off Chrétien’s Liberals?

Feel free to give feedback 🙂

2016 – United Kingdom EU Referendum

2016 – United Kingdom EU Referendum

Click Here to Download the Scenario: United Kingdom – 2016

The growth of Euroscepticism in Britain has resulted in this referendum. David Cameron has sought to renegotiate Britain’s place in the EU but many think he hasn’t done enough. The battle lines are drawn and Britain’s political heavyweights are ready to tackle the biggest issue in British politics. Will Britain vote to remain in the EU or will they vote to upset the establishment and undo fourty years of European integration?

Vote Leave

  • Boris Johnson (Conservative)
  • Michael Gove (Conservative)
  • Gisela Stuart (Labour)
  • Nigel Farage (UKIP)

Britain Stronger in Europe

  • David Cameron (Conservative)
  • George Osborne (Conservative)
  • Alan Johnson (Labour)
  • Stuart Rose (Conservative)

Three years ago, the EU Referendum changed everything in British politics. The campaign was exciting, it engaged millions of voters and in the end leave won 52%-48%. Brexit has dominated British politics since that result in 2016 and this campaign was where it all started!

Replies and Feedback are Welcome!

Click Here to Download the Scenario: United Kingdom – 2016

Australia 2004

2004 – Australia

2004 – Australia updated 6-12-19

As the year 2004 and the third term of the Howard Government come to a close, an election looms. Many issues of domestic and foreign policy divide a polarized electorate … and, in a post-September 11 world, the spectre of international terrorism is always present?

Please feel free to give feedback.

Australia 2007

After more than a decade of the Howard Government, a young and untested Labor leader – Kevin Rudd – has risen on the national scene. Is it time for a change, or will Australians elect John Howard to a fifth consecutive Liberal government?

Feedback welcome 😀

2007 – Australia Latest Update 6-6-19

2007 – Australia Updated version

2007 – Australia

Quebec 2007 – Le choc des chefs

I pay tribute to malvail and his old scenarios for Forever which helped us a lot

After a bumpy mandate, Charest is seeking re-election. In front of him, the opposition seems weak, luckily for him, the PQ being torn by leadership troubles with André Boisclair as leader. However the ADQ rapidly going up in the polls in the last few months with the Dumont as a charismatic leader..

Could Premier Charest be re-elected? With a majority or minority? Will André Boisclair, first openly homosexual ruler of a great party in North America wins the election? Or will Mario Dumont, leader of the 3rd party, pursue his trend and become Leader of the Official Opposition, or maybe, Premier himself?

And what about Quebec Solidaire? Could this new force matters and bring any MP to the national assembly? By taking the Pequist stronghold of Mercier or Gouin in Montreal? To be continued…

MOD HERE : Quebec – 2007

(Take the mod in the zip and put it either in your user_scenario for Canada Infinity or British Infinity either in your scenarios in your Canada or British scenario file)

THERE ARE A LOT OF ALTERNATIVE LEADERS FOR EACH PARTY

The electoral map of Quebec is adapted to the leader you choose. Montréal and Laval will favorize a left-wing leader, Capitale-Nationale and Chaudières-Appalache will favorize a Center-Right leader.

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Note : To favorize Quebec Solidaire in the mod, Greens and Solidaires have been merged to make them competitive with big parties.

Parti Québécois

André Boisclair historical leader

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Pauline Marois arrived 2nd, former Minister and (PM in 2012)

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Former PM and OL of the Can opp as former Conservative Minister and Ch of the PQ Lucien Bouchard

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Former leader and PM Bernard Landry

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Actor Pierre Curzi

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Journalist Bernard Drainville

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Former finance minister Joseph Facal

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Louise Harel strong Montreal leader

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Gilles Duceppe chief of the Bloc Québécois at federal leve

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François Legault former Pequist Minister and Spokesperson of the Official Opposition

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Richard Legendre former Sport’s minister

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Parti Libéral du Québec

Premier Jean Charest

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Monique J-F economic minister

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Tom Mulcair former Liberal minister and NDP MP of Outremont for federal

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Pierre Paradis former Liberal Minister, left-wing!

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Philippe Couillard Healthcare minister

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Yvon Picotte former Pdt of ADQ and Bourassa Minister

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Yves Séguin former Liberal minister for economy, right-wing economic minister

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ADQ leaders

Mario Dumont, historical leader

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Sebastien Proulx, n°2 of the ADQ

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Gilles Taillon, former leader of the “Conseil du Patronat” economic right wing

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Quebec Solidaire and Green alliance

Amir Khadir, spokesperson and main ruler of the party

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Françoise David, spokesperson of the party

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Scott Mckay, Green leader (next PQ candidate for l’Assomption and Repentigny in 2008 and 2012 and PQ minister in next elections)

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